Need help with college game pick no team is home-villanova at montana, fresno state vs wyoming,rutgers vs ucf?

fresno over wyoming is a lock..same with rutgers over central florida. the third game is between two teams that dominated their leagues..in a toss up i'd go with villanova, to spoil montana's perfect season..no real good reason y here..sorry lol. just a gut. i'm pretty good with gut feelings.